The race for the top 100, 2007
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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From time to time when I'm browsing this site I look through the list of games sorted by rank (or at least through the first few pages). What struck me was that while the top few seemed quite stable the rest of the list had a lot of volatility about it. The problem was that I sensed that games were moving up and down the rankings but I could never remember exactly where they had been and so know how much or sometimes even in which direction they were moving. Then I remembered how my old Formula One books used to graphically depict the progress of a race using a line graph where the vertical axis showed race position and the horizontal axis laps of the race. You could see how cars progressed up through the field or dropped out of contention and how cars may battle for position. I figured that the a games position in the rankings is like the position of a car in a motor race with each position only being able to be filled by one car or game. Therefore I could apply a similar graph to the BGG top 100 with rank on the vertical axis and days on the horizontal.

This graph (and this list) shows the top 100 as it was at the end of 2007. Some of the games now in the top 100 weren't at the beginning of the year and some did not even have a ranking back then. Unfortunately to fit a hundred games into a graph that will remain readable requires a graphic that is too big to be displayed on your average monitor so you'll need to scroll about to see it all.



The legend on the right of the graph shows the games in the same order as they are on the last day of the year. To follow the progress of a particular game you can start on the right hand end of the graph and follow the line back through the year. Hopefully the colours a distinct enough for those of you who are colour blind.

I think that the graph immediately shows three things. Firstly that for a game to break into the top ten is quite hard, new popular games can have a rapid assent up the rankings but tend to reach a point where they stall or slow significantly and this point is always outside the top 10. Secondly that as you travel down the rankings the volatility increases with games swinging in and out of favour and games having notable peaks and troughs though the year. Thirdly new games that are considered good by the BGG community can climb the rankings at a phenomenal rate as can be seen by the several 2007 games to now grace the top 100.

I had been planning this list for quite some time but wanted to wait until a nice round time unit like a year existed. I thought that 1000rpm had stolen my thunder with his list last month http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/27105 but he only looks at individual games and not their interactions with each other.

So let's look at the top 100 games and the year that they had. Perhaps others can help explain why some of these games have performed the way that they have better than I.
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101. Board Game: Princes of the Renaissance [Average Rating:7.48 Overall Rank:364]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Now for other games that have graced the top 100 during the year but finished outside it. Most of these games started in the top 100 but like many of the games above fell away over the year.



Princes of the Renaissance fell 32 places.

Start: 69th
End: 101st
High: 69th
Low: 104th
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102. Board Game: Blood Bowl (Third Edition) [Average Rating:7.59 Overall Rank:167]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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This game didn't just simply decline over the year with its highest ranking actually being achieved in October. However it could not retain that form and ended 102nd.

Start: 94th
End: 102nd
High: 91st
Low: 103rd
 
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103. Board Game: Shadows over Camelot [Average Rating:7.15 Overall Rank:256]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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A slower decline then some but going down never the less.

Start: 75th
End: 103rd
High: 75th
Low: 104th
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104. Board Game: Bonaparte at Marengo [Average Rating:7.41 Overall Rank:686]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Started the year going up and achieved the highest top ranking position of the games to finish outside the top 100 but fell away from March onwards.

Start: 67th
End: 104th
High: 57th
Low: 104th
 
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105. Board Game: EastFront [Average Rating:7.69 Overall Rank:785]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Started the year in a battle with Bonaparte at Marengo but fell away much sooner. Maybe now its ready to fight Bonny again only this time outside the top 100.

Start: 65th
End: 105th
High: 62nd
Low: 109th
 
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106. Board Game: Battle Cry [Average Rating:7.18 Overall Rank:402]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Steady decline.

Start: 71st
End: 106th
High: 71st
Low: 107th
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107. Board Game: Wilderness War [Average Rating:7.72 Overall Rank:372]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Steady decline but with a post Christmas upturn could be on its way back in.

Start: 81st
End: 107th
High: 79th
Low: 112th
 
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108. Board Game: Carcassonne: Hunters and Gatherers [Average Rating:7.16 Overall Rank:283]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Falling like all the Carcassonne games.

Start: 82nd
End: 108th
 
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109. Board Game: Vinci [Average Rating:7.16 Overall Rank:385]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Slowly sinking.

Start: 91st
End: 110th
High: 90th
Low: 110th
 
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110. Board Game: Medici [Average Rating:7.12 Overall Rank:357]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Start: 90th
End: 111th
 
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111. Board Game: Carcassonne: The Castle [Average Rating:7.08 Overall Rank:379]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Down 26.

Start: 87th
End: 113th
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112. Board Game: Advanced Squad Leader: Starter Kit #2 [Average Rating:7.89 Overall Rank:445]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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A game that fought hard to get into the top 100 only to fall away again.
Start: 109th
End: 118th
High: 92nd
Low: 122nd

Strangely has a two day gap in the data during June.
 
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113. Board Game: PitchCar [Average Rating:7.23 Overall Rank:254]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Start: 95th
End: 121st
High: 95th
Low: 124th
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114. Board Game: Domaine [Average Rating:7.06 Overall Rank:436]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Start: 97th
End: 122nd
 
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115. Board Game: Keythedral [Average Rating:7.12 Overall Rank:437]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Start: 80th
End: 124th
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116. Board Game: Attika [Average Rating:7.04 Overall Rank:394]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Start: 96th
End: 125th
 
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117. Board Game: San Marco [Average Rating:7.22 Overall Rank:332]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Barely a top 100 game starting the year at position 100 but by January 2nd was already outside the top 100 and never regained it.
 
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118. Board Game: Rommel in the Desert [Average Rating:7.54 Overall Rank:630]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Steady decline saw Rommel in the Desert drop as low as 134th before a December fight back.

Start: 92nd
End: 130th
High: 92nd
Low: 134th
 
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119. Board Game: Bridge [Average Rating:7.46 Overall Rank:298]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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Bridge flirted with the top 100 a few times but every time it made it it seemed to get squashed. Do some of the geeks on here object to a game that can be played with a standard deck of cards making the top 100?

"...but where are all the bits?"

Fell away from May.

Start: 103rd
End: 131st
High: 99th
Low: 134th
 
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120. Board Game: Leonardo da Vinci [Average Rating:6.83 Overall Rank:642]
Boyd Ludlow
Denmark
Copenhagen
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A huge loser down 60 places from the year's start and 74 from its high point. Leo started the year off quite well as a solid 70th to 80th game and even spiked to 65th on March 26th but then people fell out of love with it and the slide was huge.

Start: 79th
End: 139th
High: 65th
Low: 139th
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