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Mac Mcleod
United States
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The anchor bloviates til 2m:30s so you can skip to that part for the meat.

An exit poll of early voters shows Clinton is winning 28% of registered republican early voters who have already voted, including early voters by mail.

Trump is pulling 6% of registered democratic early voters.

Net net 48% Clinton, 40% Trump.

Apparently the republican party leaders saying "nay" may have some sway with republican voters.

The analyst has a side comment that this crossover is likely occurring in other states as well.

That said- it's a poll. Normal 95% confidence values, etc. apply. He does say that it's a very well constructed sample compared to many polls and explains why.

He also says it looks like the republican voters are otherwise still voting for their party's representatives and senators.

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Mac Mcleod
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wth? I'll fix that. sorry Grog!
 
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Richard Keiser

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maxo-texas wrote:


The anchor bloviates til 2m:30s so you can skip to that part for the meat.

An exit poll of early voters shows Clinton is winning 28% of registered republican early voters who have already voted, including early voters by mail.

Trump is pulling 6% of registered democratic early voters.

Net net 48% Clinton, 40% Trump.

Apparently the republican party leaders saying "nay" may have some sway with republican voters.

The analyst has a side comment that this crossover is likely occurring in other states as well.

That said- it's a poll. Normal 95% confidence values, etc. apply. He does say that it's a very well constructed sample compared to many polls and explains why.

He also says it looks like the republican voters are otherwise still voting for their party's representatives and senators.



Old, retired Jewish voters kinda shun the next dude with the Brownshirts in tow.

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Robert Wesley
Nepal
Aberdeen
Washington
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darthhugo wrote:


Old, retired Jewish voters kinda shun the next dude with the Brownshirts in tow.

wow Pink Floyd "predicted" TRUMP! surprise

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G Rowls
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"He also says it looks like the republican voters are otherwise still voting for their party's representatives and senators."

Hardly news is it, tribal voters vote for their tribe no matter how bad the candidate is.

Though it is a whole new level of willfull blindness when evangelicals vote for trump.
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Moshe Callen
Israel
Jerusalem
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ἄνδρα μοι ἔννεπε, μοῦσα, πολύτροπον, ὃς μάλα πολλὰ/ πλάγχθη, ἐπεὶ Τροίης ἱερὸν πτολίεθρον ἔπερσεν./...
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μῆνιν ἄειδε θεὰ Πηληϊάδεω Ἀχιλῆος/ οὐλομένην, ἣ μυρί᾽ Ἀχαιοῖς ἄλγε᾽ ἔθηκε,/...
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growlley wrote:
"He also says it looks like the republican voters are otherwise still voting for their party's representatives and senators."

Hardly news is it, tribal voters vote for their tribe no matter how bad the candidate is.

Though it is a whole new level of willfull blindness when evangelicals vote for trump.

Did you miss the part where he was using that expression to describe people who were Republicans not voting for Trump and yet otherwise voting Republican?
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G Rowls
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I wasnt clear, the 2nd part was meant to to express I still can't get my head around how evangelicals will vote for this man when he is everything they protest they are not.

As for the repubs solidifying dpown ticket well I knew that months ago even when they saying they wouldnt. Thats just human nature.
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Andy Beaton
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I can easily understand the idea of someone who believes in the principles of the Republican party and will vote for their Senate and Rep candidates but just can't bring themselves to vote for Trump.
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Tom McVey
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Exit polls are shite, especially in close contests like this. Don't pay any attention to them - remember how badly the exit polls did in 2004.

Turn off your TV tomorrow, and don't turn it on until the first few states close their polls and the real results start to filter.
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Mac Mcleod
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Actually, we will have a verifiable data point on these exit polls on wednesday.
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Chris
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Having been visiting in Florida this past week I have seen a ton of anti Hillary commercials, tons of pro Trump signs and bumper stickers. Granted this is all anecdotal but given the amount of red neck inbred hillbillies I have seen I find it hard to believe Hillary would win Florida.
 
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J.D. Hall
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galad2003 wrote:
...red neck inbred hillbillies...

Watcha got against red neck inbred hillbillies Willis?
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Christopher Dearlove
United Kingdom
Chelmsford
Essex
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SoRCon 8 27 Feb - 1 Mar 2015 Basildon UK http://www.sorcon.co.uk Essex Games 27 Jul '15
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From previous elections (though they may not apply) is there a significant difference between early voters and polling day voters?
 
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Oldies but Goodies ... Avalon Hill and
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Democrats are more likely to vote early or by any means not involving in-person voting. The exception is military absentee balloting, which heavily favors Republicans.

 
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Shawn Fox
United States
Richardson
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More people have cast absentee ballots in Florida this year than voted in Florida in 2000

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/07/politics/2000-bush-gore-2016-f...

Florida's voting age population is 15.8 million and 6.4 million of them have already voted.
 
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