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BoardGameGeek» Forums » Everything Else » Religion, Sex, and Politics

Subject: How much is extending life worth? rss

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Cool User
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http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/02/02/britain-jj-cancer-...

Quote:
Zytiga, also known as abiraterone, is taken once a day as a single dose of four tablets and costs 2,930 pounds ($4,600) for a 30-day supply.


Quote:
The drug was hailed as a significant advance by cancer doctors after a clinical trial showed it extended the lives of patients with advanced prostate cancer by an average of 3.9 months.


Quote:
It was quickly approved by U.S. and European regulators last year, but Britain's National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) said it did not provide enough benefit to justify the high cost, even with a discount offered by J&J.


Is $18K too much to pay to (maybe) extend a life by 4 months? I can understand people are upset by the decision not to cover the drug, but I can't decide how I would place a dollar cap on any medical care.

I'm sure that the esteemed RSP denizens will have all the answers, so enlighten me.
 
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  • Last edited Thu Feb 2, 2012 12:50 am (Total Number of Edits: 1)
  • Posted Thu Feb 2, 2012 12:50 am
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Not Just Wrong- SPECTACULARLY WRONG.
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If you've got the money, sure, it's probably worth it.

If, on the other hand, one is dependent upon public medical insurance, it's probably a luxury, alas.

Although, if I had prostate cancer I'd probably vehemently disagree with that last statement......



Darilian
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J
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The sad fact is that cancer can never be cured. Oncologists and patients don't talk about being cured, they talk about being in remission. Also the drugs should not just be compared to life extension, but also quality of life: ten months of puking is not necessarily better than eight months of peaceful rest.
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Vlad Taltos
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Well the one thing your not taking into account is the costs beyond just the medication (all the other drugs and care needed in those extra 4 months) and the meds may cost more because the patient may need to take them longer than just the 4 months to get the benefit. So a 6 months is 27.6 k and a year is 55 k. So the cost could be more in the 100-200k for the extra time.

Both our countries will have to struggle with Cost vs Value of Life. I'm all for max Preventative and Quality of life care, and death with dignity laws.

The numbers might have changed but spending massive dollars like 40-50% lifetime heath care spending in the last 2-3 months of life has never made much sense to me. Keep them concious if possible until the family has said goodbye, and if there is no medical cure, pull the plug. Put the savings to curing birth defects or child cancer or something for the living.

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Ken
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Dar started down the right path by asking who's paying, but there's more to it than that. There's questions of age, other medical factors, surviving relatives, potential for benefit from the treatment, etc.

There are no easy answers to questions of treatment like this. The British system focuses on attempting to ensure that the public monies spent are targeted at treatments that provide the maximum benefit to the society based on their efficacy. That means managing a scarce resource (health care funds) across a large population so things like average benefit are important. Here in the US, those decisions are often made by insurers or caps on insurance payments (when you hit that $1 million lifetime cap on payments, does that make it fair to stop paying for treatment?). That means efficacy will not necessarily be the only factor considered and the quality of the coverage procured can drive a huge amount of the conversation.

Is extending any life 4 months worth $18K? A number of years ago, a personal injury attorney told me that wrongful death cases ordinarily assumed a value of about $1 million for a life here in the states. That's probably higher today, but if you used that as the base number for the "value" of a life, then that works out to like $1200/month if you assume a 70 year lifespan. So paying $18K for $4800 in "benefits" under that formula would seem to make little sense. That's somewhat brutal calculus, but if you use those types of calculations, you need to be "worth" a bit less than 4 "average" people for that treatment to pay off.

It's a worthwhile question, one that the British system attempts to answer by setting nationwide standards and publishing them for all to see. We rarely have that type of transparency here. I often wonder what type of commentary we'd generate if there were more transparency regarding the decisions that insurers make regarding treatment. With the horror stories about recission and refusal of coverage in the past, I'm not sure we'd stack up very favorably.
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  • Last edited Thu Feb 2, 2012 2:10 am (Total Number of Edits: 2)
  • Posted Thu Feb 2, 2012 1:53 am
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Clay
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perfalbion wrote:
Dar started down the right path by asking who's paying, but there's more to it than that. There's questions of age,


I'd really like to hear your thoughts on this one (or everyone's thoughts, I guess). Seems a bit odd, honestly.
 
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Cpl. Fields
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Quote:
The drug was hailed as a significant advance by cancer doctors after a clinical trial showed it extended the lives of patients with advanced prostate cancer by an average of 3.9 months.


That's not living longer. That's dying longer.
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Ken
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The Message wrote:
perfalbion wrote:
Dar started down the right path by asking who's paying, but there's more to it than that. There's questions of age,


I'd really like to hear your thoughts on this one (or everyone's thoughts, I guess). Seems a bit odd, honestly.


It does? Why? If you're weighing benefits of extending life, then an elderly person will probably see dramatically less benefit from living longer than someone that's younger. Whether you measure that in economic output, the relationships that they have (if you're 93, people are probably not going to be surprised to hear that you're dying but at 43 that's a different picture), etc. From a purely "rational" economic argument, younger people will repay more of the money spent on them through the work they will perform than older people.

In the US, we spend dramatically more on health care for the elderly than we do any other demographic (I'd need to dig for my stats, but I want to say it's like 2/3 of all spending for a person tends to occur in the last decade of their life). And while I want my parents to hang around a long time as much as anyone else, it can be worth asking if we're attaching too much value to extending their lives when it's so expensive.

As I said before, that's fairly cold calculus. But we can spend a small fortune keeping people alive when perhaps that's not even what's best for them. My grandmother was basically in a different universe for the last 5-10 years of her life and she had huge medical bills for full-time care, cancer treatment, diabetes, etc. And it was hugely painful to watch a vibrant, active woman basically waste away with limited recognition of what was going on around her.

It's good that we value life highly. But we often appear to value it without limit or at least without discussing limits. And that's just not real. We send soldiers off to war knowing that some will never return and others will return mentally or physically broken. And we argue endlessly about whether it was worth it. We probably should do more of that type of thinking about when we think it appropriate to extend life as well. Right now, we've a pretty generic answer for that side of the equation.
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Neil Carr
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I've heard plenty of stories from my mom who's a pastor. She's spent many years checking in on elderly parishioners in their last stages of life. She's seen a lot of incoherent cultural responses to death. There have been plenty of people who are on the way out, and basically just have to wait to die and find the entire process kind of... boring.

There are also families that push to do everything they can to keep an elderly relative alive who's a bit out of it, but in moments of lucidity tell my mom that they just want to pass away. The family however keeps them going because they feel the need to keep their parent going till there is nothing left.

One can start going down the path of euthanasia, but I know my mom has said in the past that addressing many of the issues doesn't even really require going in the direction, a lot of it is just asking if it's really necessary to keep pumping resources towards someone who has no options left except to wait for the inevitable.

I do think it would be a healthy thing to have an open ongoing cultural dialogue on when it's appropriate to let go. Everything ends up being framed in terms of authorities making these decisions, but what's really needed is for individuals to discuss the overall value of it.
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Clay
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perfalbion wrote:
The Message wrote:
perfalbion wrote:
Dar started down the right path by asking who's paying, but there's more to it than that. There's questions of age,


I'd really like to hear your thoughts on this one (or everyone's thoughts, I guess). Seems a bit odd, honestly.


It does? Why? If you're weighing benefits of extending life, then an elderly person will probably see dramatically less benefit from living longer than someone that's younger. Whether you measure that in economic output, the relationships that they have (if you're 93, people are probably not going to be surprised to hear that you're dying but at 43 that's a different picture), etc. From a purely "rational" economic argument, younger people will repay more of the money spent on them through the work they will perform than older people.

In the US, we spend dramatically more on health care for the elderly than we do any other demographic (I'd need to dig for my stats, but I want to say it's like 2/3 of all spending for a person tends to occur in the last decade of their life). And while I want my parents to hang around a long time as much as anyone else, it can be worth asking if we're attaching too much value to extending their lives when it's so expensive.

As I said before, that's fairly cold calculus. But we can spend a small fortune keeping people alive when perhaps that's not even what's best for them. My grandmother was basically in a different universe for the last 5-10 years of her life and she had huge medical bills for full-time care, cancer treatment, diabetes, etc. And it was hugely painful to watch a vibrant, active woman basically waste away with limited recognition of what was going on around her.

It's good that we value life highly. But we often appear to value it without limit or at least without discussing limits. And that's just not real. We send soldiers off to war knowing that some will never return and others will return mentally or physically broken. And we argue endlessly about whether it was worth it. We probably should do more of that type of thinking about when we think it appropriate to extend life as well. Right now, we've a pretty generic answer for that side of the equation.


Ah, alright. I don't necessarily agree with assigning value based on economic potential but that's a perfectly reasonable position for someone that does.
 
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Xander Fulton
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cool username wrote:
Is $18K too much to pay to (maybe) extend a life by 4 months? I can understand people are upset by the decision not to cover the drug, but I can't decide how I would place a dollar cap on any medical care.

I'm sure that the esteemed RSP denizens will have all the answers, so enlighten me.


Would the answer change, I wonder, if we found that these pills only cost the drug manufacturer about $2.80 to produce that four month supply, and even integrating research and development costs into the cost of the pill, only ran than up to, say, $50 or so...but they charged $18k because they knew they could get away with that.

Would that make a difference in the debate, I wonder? (Just pulling numbers out of the air, of course, but it's interesting that the actual cost to the drug manufacturer isn't being discussed - other than that the manufacturer can apparently issue arbitrary discounts of confidential amounts to attempt to get into new markets...)
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Andy Andersen
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My Dad had brain cancer. After going through two rounds of chemo, he said, that's enough. We wanted him to continue but never tried to change his mind. He died soon after.

I hope I have his courage if I'm ever in the same position.
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John W
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I would love to see these questions actually brought up in some public policy forum.

I find it worrisome that there are such costs involved in treating terminal patients.

When the costs are SO high, there exists ample opportunity for businesses to profit.

Where there is opportunity for profit, seldom are the outcomes dictated by what's the right decision for the individual.
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Ken
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XanderF wrote:
Would the answer change, I wonder, if we found that these pills only cost the drug manufacturer about $2.80 to produce that four month supply, and even integrating research and development costs into the cost of the pill, only ran than up to, say, $50 or so...but they charged $18k because they knew they could get away with that.


I'm certainly no big defender of big Pharma, but this isn't fair. A cheap drug costs them something like $500 million to develop and the R&D costs for some range over $1 billion spent over a decade. On an episode of West Wing, one character puts it nicely in perspective (my paraphrase follows) - "The second pill cost them $1.50. The first cost them $800 million."

And that's the way it's gotta be or you don't get new drugs. Either they get a way to pay back the massive R&D investments they make or we won't have new medicines. Further, they have to make that money back before the generics can ship or they won't be able to do so.

If you want to change that, then there's lots and lots of things that need to be changed or there won't be a pharmaceuticals industry that does R&D.
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Ken
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The Message wrote:
Ah, alright. I don't necessarily agree with assigning value based on economic potential but that's a perfectly reasonable position for someone that does.


You'll find that it can be true outside of economic potential, though. If I hit 75 and come down with something horrid that will be a huge drain on us financially, then I've already lived a full life (I hope) and both I and my family should be more emotionally prepared for me to die. So although they'll feel my passing, it's a different emotional or qualitative issue than if I encountered the same while in my mid 40's.
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perfalbion wrote:
XanderF wrote:
Would the answer change, I wonder, if we found that these pills only cost the drug manufacturer about $2.80 to produce that four month supply, and even integrating research and development costs into the cost of the pill, only ran than up to, say, $50 or so...but they charged $18k because they knew they could get away with that.


I'm certainly no big defender of big Pharma, but this isn't fair. A cheap drug costs them something like $500 million to develop and the R&D costs for some range over $1 billion spent over a decade. On an episode of West Wing, one character puts it nicely in perspective (my paraphrase follows) - "The second pill cost them $1.50. The first cost them $800 million."

And that's the way it's gotta be or you don't get new drugs. Either they get a way to pay back the massive R&D investments they make or we won't have new medicines. Further, they have to make that money back before the generics can ship or they won't be able to do so.

If you want to change that, then there's lots and lots of things that need to be changed or there won't be a pharmaceuticals industry that does R&D.


I had a doctor friend tell me once that only 1 in 6 drugs that make it to human trials will eventually make it to the public. And for every drug that makes it to human trials, five don't.
 
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Adrian Hague
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Nice OP, good subject for discussion.

I think we could aslo talk about the costs of life reduction (assissted suicide) also, as there are many similar issues. Does one extend the quality of life by decreacing the inequality (pain and discomfort)?
 
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Stew
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MyTwoCents wrote:
XanderF wrote:
cool username wrote:
Is $18K too much to pay to (maybe) extend a life by 4 months? I can understand people are upset by the decision not to cover the drug, but I can't decide how I would place a dollar cap on any medical care.

I'm sure that the esteemed RSP denizens will have all the answers, so enlighten me.


Would the answer change, I wonder, if we found that these pills only cost the drug manufacturer about $2.80 to produce that four month supply, and even integrating research and development costs into the cost of the pill, only ran than up to, say, $50 or so...but they charged $18k because they knew they could get away with that.

Would that make a difference in the debate, I wonder? (Just pulling numbers out of the air, of course, but it's interesting that the actual cost to the drug manufacturer isn't being discussed - other than that the manufacturer can apparently issue arbitrary discounts of confidential amounts to attempt to get into new markets...)


I don't know what makes some new drugs 10 or more times expensive than other new drugs, but there are 4 possible reasons i can think of:


1 - They are much much more expensive to produce (very unlikely to cover the difference)

2 - They cost 10 times as much to develop

3 - They have the same development and production costs, but only 1/10th the potential market

4 - The company is price-gouging.

People tend to assume number 4, but a combination of 2 and 3 seems more realistic




They also have to cover the costs of drugs and thier development that fail.
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Brian
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bobby_5150 wrote:
perfalbion wrote:
XanderF wrote:
Would the answer change, I wonder, if we found that these pills only cost the drug manufacturer about $2.80 to produce that four month supply, and even integrating research and development costs into the cost of the pill, only ran than up to, say, $50 or so...but they charged $18k because they knew they could get away with that.


I'm certainly no big defender of big Pharma, but this isn't fair. A cheap drug costs them something like $500 million to develop and the R&D costs for some range over $1 billion spent over a decade. On an episode of West Wing, one character puts it nicely in perspective (my paraphrase follows) - "The second pill cost them $1.50. The first cost them $800 million."

And that's the way it's gotta be or you don't get new drugs. Either they get a way to pay back the massive R&D investments they make or we won't have new medicines. Further, they have to make that money back before the generics can ship or they won't be able to do so.

If you want to change that, then there's lots and lots of things that need to be changed or there won't be a pharmaceuticals industry that does R&D.


I had a doctor friend tell me once that only 1 in 6 drugs that make it to human trials will eventually make it to the public. And for every drug that makes it to human trials, five don't.


And it seems to me, for every 3 drugs that make it to public, there is 1 that generates law suit commercials two years later...
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