Take Stock :: Commodity / Stock Holding (and a GG contest to boot)
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As some of you are aware, I am very eagerly awaiting the release of my first published game: Take Stock.

A few of my gaming buddies and acquaintances have played Take Stock and rated it here on the geek. At time of writing there are 5 ratings with an average of 7.6 (currently unranked). I am under no illusions that the rating will fall over time as the game gets wider exposure, and the 'meh' votes come in. That's all part and parcel of the gaming world.

But while it is "up there" I thought I would look at the current top rated games which also have "Commodity Speculation" and "Stock Holding" mechanics, to see what competition Take Stock is up against. I have only included ranked games in this list (other than Take Stock). I'd be interested in hearing comments from those of you who have played these games. What did you think of them?

In addition, I thought it would be fun to hold a contest. To enter, add a comment to the Take Stock entry (not as a general list comment) where you specify what you think Take Stock's Bayesian Average Rating and Rank will be on the first day that it becomes ranked, and the date you think that will be. Only the first entry from each user will be accepted, all others will be ignored.

Entries must be submitted no later than 11:59:59pm on July 14th (one week from today).

Entry submissions will be closed at midnight on the day that Take Stock gets 15 or more ratings.

Take Stock gained its 16th rating on August 16th! Therefore, the deadline for accepting entries to this contest is BGG-midnight 8/16/2006

(However, please continue to add your comments and observations about the other games in this list. Thank you.)

When Take Stock finally gets ranked (30 ratings), I will award:
30 to the user who guessed the closest BAR
30 to the user who guessed the closest Rank
10 to the user who guessed the closest date

In the case of ties, the earlier entry will win.

Happy speculating...

[Edit 1: Added tie-breaking rule]

[Edit 2: Added the four games suggested by T.Hedden, and sorted by Rank]

[Edit 3: Clarification on where to post your contest entry]

[Edit 4: Added Vino]

[Edit 5: Changed contest deadline to be linked to # ratings (15)]

[Edit 6: Deadline set to BGG-midnight 8/16/2006]

[Edit 7: Contest submissions closed]



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1. Board Game: Acquire [Average Rating:7.35 Overall Rank:212]
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Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 7.49
Current Rank: 43
 
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2. Board Game: Union Pacific [Average Rating:7.23 Overall Rank:500]
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Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 7.42
Current Rank: 50
 
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3. Board Game: Stephenson's Rocket [Average Rating:6.87 Overall Rank:1065]
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Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 7.08
Current Rank: 135
 
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4. Board Game: Shark [Average Rating:6.65 Overall Rank:1871]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 6.50
Current Rank: 430

Looks to be an interesting game. I'm in the process of obtaining a copy.
 
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5. Board Game: Vino [Average Rating:6.47 Overall Rank:2830]
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Commodity Speculation

Current Bayesian Rating: 6.26
Current Rank: 681
 
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6. Board Game: Buy Low Sell High [Average Rating:6.15 Overall Rank:3461]
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Commodity Speculation

Current Bayesian Rating: 6.14
Current Rank: 853
 
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7. Board Game: 1829 [Average Rating:7.05 Overall Rank:3798]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 6.14
Current Rank: 854
 
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8. Board Game: Moderne Zeiten [Average Rating:6.54 Overall Rank:3988]
 
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 6.28
Current Rank: 646

 
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9. Board Game: Take Stock [Average Rating:5.87 Overall Rank:5938]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

At time of writing an average rating of 7.6, but unranked.

When it finally does get the prerequisite number of ratings, what do you think its Bayesian Average will be, and where will it be ranked?

Entries of the form: BAR = n.nn, Rank = nnnn, Date = dd-mmm-yy
 
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10. Board Game: Stock Market Game [Average Rating:6.22 Overall Rank:6099]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.77
Current Rank: 1624
 
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11. Board Game: Lumberjack [Average Rating:5.74 Overall Rank:10418]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.64
Current Rank: 2003
 
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12. Board Game: Stock Market Guru [Average Rating:5.84 Overall Rank:11174]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.56
Current Rank: 2235
 
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13. Board Game: Stocks & Bonds [Average Rating:5.62 Overall Rank:11175]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.33
Current Rank: 2677
 
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14. Board Game: Monopoly: Stock Exchange [Average Rating:5.64 Overall Rank:12317]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.45
Current Rank: 2497
 
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15. Board Game: Squatter [Average Rating:5.64 Overall Rank:12342]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.53
Current Rank: 2319
 
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16. Board Game: Stock Ticker [Average Rating:5.60 Overall Rank:12863]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.11
Current Rank: 2847
 
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17. Board Game: Rollout: The Game of the Risk-Takers [Average Rating:5.48 Overall Rank:12877]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.57
Current Rank: 2195
 
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18. Board Game: Trust Me [Average Rating:4.92 Overall Rank:15338]
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Commodity Speculation & Stock Holding

Current Bayesian Rating: 5.40
Current Rank: 2573
 
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