The Month That Was: An Update Using The FORM Rating Scale
Tim Benjamin
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Due to the incredible efforts of Aldie and the suggestion by Randy Cox, it is easy to rate the entire BGG database by the FORM method http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist.php3?action=view&listi...).
Due to data collection limitations, my previous FORM Geeklist could only rerate/reorder the Listed Top 100 as an example of the difference between the rating systems. FORM is a calculation of 'popular acclaim' vs the 'critical acclaim' of the current Bayesian Average ratings. FORM is 'popular' in that both the consensus of the community (Std Dev) and the Number of votes are included. This method has a statistically defensible basis and it also avoids the recent issue of large early rating flucuations.

I've started a monthly comparison of the FORM ratings which I first compiled on 20 March. Now that 20 April has come, I can make a few observations. For both months, only 49 games are on both the Bayesian and FORM Top 100 lists. Therefore, it requires a total of 151 games to make a combined Top 100 listing. In March, 1731 games had 25 or more votes (my FORM criterion), increasing by 82 to 1813 in one month. Similarly, the number of games with at least one vote increased from 7525 to 7853 with over 2600 games listed having no votes.

The following are some of the 'winners' and 'losers' in gaining acceptance by the BGG community.
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1. Board Game: Ticket to Ride [Average Rating:7.46 Overall Rank:124] [Average Rating:7.46 Unranked]
Tim Benjamin
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Ticket to Ride had an incredible FORM ratings jump of 686 places in one month to take over the 99th position. This kind of rise could take it into the Top 10 over the next few months. This 'popular acclaim' is just what was missing from the early voting on games such as Warangel (currently FORM 1317th and dropping) and Europe Engulfed (currently FORM 552nd and clmbing).
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2. Board Game: Carolus Magnus [Average Rating:6.84 Overall Rank:896]
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Carolus Magnus climbed only 3 spots but was the only other game other than TtR to break into the Top 100, at the expense of Advanced Civilization (103) and Stratego (106). Of the 'old-time family classics we grew up with', only Scrabble (up 4 to 64th), Chess (up 2 to 84th), and Risk (down 3 to 75th) remain.
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3. Board Game: Attika [Average Rating:7.02 Overall Rank:563]
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Attika is the only other big gainer in the Top 100, up 21 places to 34th. (Alhambra gained 11 to 39th.)
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4. Board Game: Babel [Average Rating:6.70 Overall Rank:1040]
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Three games in the Top 100 lost 8 places, Medici (44th), Odin's Ravens (54th), and Babel (96th). Overall the Top 100 FORM list is very stable with the exception of a (very) few fast rising new games.
 
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5. Board Game: Hansa [Average Rating:6.90 Overall Rank:709]
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Hansa went from Unranked (16 votes) in March to 153rd (80 votes) in April. It may also break into the Top 100 by May.
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6. Board Game: Globbo! [Average Rating:5.81 Overall Rank:10674]
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The biggest ranked loser is Globbo (1304th), dropping 378 places from a not-so-lofty March rank of 926th
 
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7. Board Game: Sticheln [Average Rating:7.03 Overall Rank:808]
 
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Sticheln had the biggest drop for a game with over 100 votes (158 as of April 20th), from 229th to 324th, 95 positions.
 
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8. Board Game: San Juan [Average Rating:7.28 Overall Rank:228]
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San Juan rose 263 places since March to be ranked 119th. It will break into the Top 100 by May.
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