Predicting Essen 2008
Michael Debije
Netherlands
Eindhoven
The Netherlands
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Last year, I ran a Geeklist wherein we tried to make predictions about the games of 2007- you can find it at http://boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/25313.

Want to try it again this year. Make your boldest predictions, and face the weight of the future, and we'll rate it next year to see who is the prognosticator ultima of BGG!
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1. Board Game: Dominion [Average Rating:7.67 Overall Rank:72] [Average Rating:7.67 Unranked]
Michael Debije
Netherlands
Eindhoven
The Netherlands
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Will be a knockout-seller, be proclaimed the 'best of show'. however, time will not be kind, and in wide distribution the rating will fall. It will get a boost from an expansion early next year.
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2. Board Game: A Castle for All Seasons [Average Rating:6.77 Overall Rank:1036]
Michael Debije
Netherlands
Eindhoven
The Netherlands
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The Game Master game will do okay in the Netherlands, but Pillars of the Earth is going to make this lost in obscurity.
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3. Board Game: Kriegbot [Average Rating:7.15 Overall Rank:7116]
Michael Debije
Netherlands
Eindhoven
The Netherlands
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A sellout at Essen, but will receive a mixed bag of ratings, perhaps not as odd as those for Origins: How We Became Human. There will be surprise at the difference of playstyle from Sierra Madre's other games.
 
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4. Board Game: Le Havre [Average Rating:7.91 Overall Rank:36]
Michael Debije
Netherlands
Eindhoven
The Netherlands
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People will flock to this, and it will sell out as players want to be on the next 'Agricola bandwagon'. However, there will be murmurs that 'it just isn't as good'. The lack of wooden goods-meeples shaped like bales of cloth and stalks of corn will leave buyers wailing.
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5. Board Game: Ghost Stories [Average Rating:7.37 Overall Rank:191]
Stefan
Germany
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Don´t forget Ghost Stories! I heard that there will only be a limited number of games available at Essen and that this would be some kind of special edition.
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6. Board Game: Race for the Galaxy: The Gathering Storm [Average Rating:8.08 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.08 Unranked]
George Leach
United Kingdom
Godalming
Surrey
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This will be the hot expansion of the fair. It won't sell out though and won't rise beyond 100th on the ratings before next year.
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7. Board Game Publisher: Chili Spiele
Daniel Danzer
Germany
Stuttgart
southwest
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The booth of Klaus Zoch`s "Chili Spiele" will be a must-stopover, and having a look at the games + the shipping costs (because of the massive wooden material) + non-availability elsewhere, people will buy a lot !!!


Neue Heimat
Now:
Owners: 23
Wanted by: 35
After fair:
Owners: 41 (Edit after fair: 35)
Wanted by: 37 (edit after fair: 39)



The Climbers
Now:
Owners: 26
Wanted by: 39
After fair:
Owners: 52 (Edit after fair: 54)
Wanted by: 42 (edit after fair: 40)



Cobra
Now:
Owners: 6
Wanted by: 2
After fair:
Owners: 11 (Edit after fair: 7)
Wanted by: 5 (edit after fair: 3)
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8. Board Game: Constantinopolis [Average Rating:6.94 Overall Rank:1293]
Andy Parsons
United Kingdom
CHELMSFORD
Essex
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People will get bored with the whole produce goods, ship goods, build buildings, gaming for accountants with no social skills thing.

No? I can dream can't I?
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9. Board Game: Kraków 1325 AD [Average Rating:6.46 Overall Rank:3041]
Jasper
Netherlands
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Almost completely unknown for now this game may not sell very well at Essen.

However it will get some good reviews and attention and later sales will pick up. May end up ranked somehwere between 200 and 100, probably more around the 200 mark.
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10. Board Game: After the Flood [Average Rating:6.90 Overall Rank:1652]
Daniel Brown
United States
Cumming
Georgia
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But don't be fooled by the radio, the TV, or the magazines. They'll show you photographs of how your life should be but they're just someone else's fantasies.
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This game will come out without much of a bang and then after it is out of print it will marked as one of the best Martin Wallace games ever behind only Age of Steam.

Ok, everyone is making safe predictions. I wanted to go out on a limb. Well, the truth is that I am turning into a fanboy and I am projecting my hopes onto my predictions.
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11. Board Game: Cavum [Average Rating:6.74 Overall Rank:1573]
Daniel Brown
United States
Cumming
Georgia
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But don't be fooled by the radio, the TV, or the magazines. They'll show you photographs of how your life should be but they're just someone else's fantasies.
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This one will shoot up high on the fair play list on the first days but drop off by the end of the convention.
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12. Board Game: Unpublished Prototype [Average Rating:6.96 Overall Rank:2241]
Ian Madsen
United States
Kearns
Utah
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Trains!
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There will be ONE copy of this at Essen. It will be hidden inside a Age of Mythology: The Boardgame box, and pass through several middle men (who just think it is another Reiner Knizia prototype), finaly ending up discarded on a table in the corner where half of the fluorescent bulbs are burned out. Martin Wallace, Glenn Dover, and John Bohrer (all of them wearing disguises) will sit down at the table one at a time in 10 minute intervals. As they are opening the box, FFG's Black Operations Squad with drop from the ceiling, throw plastic shurikens at anyone in range, grab the game, and exit through the designated exit (as nobody will expect that). ninja

I really should go to bed now. shake
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13. Board Game: Space Alert [Average Rating:7.50 Overall Rank:145]
Walter
Netherlands
Soest
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Vlaada Chvátil's new game proves to be far too revolutional for the conservative Essen-crowd. The negative buzz is all around the fair and as a result sales are very disappointing. Vlaada returns home mentally broken and frustrated.

However, a couple of days after the fair, Vlaada receives a phone call. Turns out the US Federal Bank wants 100 copies of the game in a desperate attempt to bring back trust and understanding between the different bank directors. Miraculously it works: the financial crisis is solved within weeks! But Vlaada's big moment of fame is still to come...

In the meantime the Bush-government - in it's last weeks of action - is very anxious not to go down in to history as the most unpopular government ever. Futhermore, with the financial crisis solved, they have lot's of (borrowed) money to spent. Vlaada is ordered to make a special Bush-edition of the game, which is given to every US-citizen. The game is an instant hit and due to some subtle messages on the CD Bush's popularity rises to unprecedented heights.

All this has made Vlaada a rich man. He takes over some of the biggest game publishers. As a result, 50% of the new games at Essen 2009 will feature a CD, realtime action and coöperation.
 
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14. Board Game: Omega Centauri [Average Rating:7.04 Overall Rank:3789]
 
Daniel Brown
United States
Cumming
Georgia
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But don't be fooled by the radio, the TV, or the magazines. They'll show you photographs of how your life should be but they're just someone else's fantasies.
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This game will go the way of Space Dealer. Cool new idea that is nice the first few times but looses steam after that. In fact, no one will want to play it again while I will have yet to have played it.

Note on Space Dealer: I still have not played that game. I want to play it but I don't think I will ever get a chance.
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15. Board Game: Duck Dealer [Average Rating:6.39 Overall Rank:3453]
marc magner
United States
webster
New York
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There will never be a game with a dumber name. Seriously how long must have the splotter gang brainstormed to come up with this gem... was the Howard the duck aka duck trader to expensive??

All that said, all of us splotter fiends will be digging around our sofa's looking for enough spare change to duck over our $90.

Must buy for me.... just goes to prove it's not what's on the cover but what's under it that truly matters.


but I will not be prominently featuring Duck Dealer on my game shelf no matter how good it may be!!!
 
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