Top 100s: BGG Rank vs. Plays Rank vs. Owned Rank: Hot & Popular Games
- Tony Ackroyd(1000rpm)United Kingdom
Top 100s: Owned vs. Played vs. BGG Rank looked at the differences between the Top 100s and put a name to the various groups of games and focussed on the "Core" games - those that featured in all 3 of the Top 100s.
BGG Rank vs. Plays Rank vs. Owned Rank: Classics & Relics looked at the games that appeared in the Owned and Ranked Top 100s, but not in the Played Top 100.
Top 100 Appearances
In the first list I added a poll to let people choose which of the groups would be the next ones that I would analyze. "Hot" and "Popular" were then next most voted for, so here they (finally!) are.
'Hot' Games are games that appear in the BGG Ranking Top 100 and in the 100 most played games during August 2008, but are not in the Top 100 most owned games. Its not much of a surprise to find that these are mostly new(ish) games, but hopefully they should be the best of the new releases - these are tried and tested by other geeks and should be worthy of a look.
'Popular' Games are games that are played a lot and a lot of people own but do not appear in the BGG Top 100. Potentially they are under-rated. As you'd expect there are a number of fillers here - games which are quick are more likely to hit the table during a month and are probably cheap, so more people are likely to buy them. But again, these are tried and tested and should be worth a try. Since most of the guys who track data focus on the BGG Top 100, historic Owned data is sketchy to non-existent for these games.
I have sorted these games by the sum of the ranks for their categories. Sometimes additional data is shown where it may be interesting (mainly high near-Top 100 Owned ranks for the 'Hot' games - these are games that are on the verge of entering the 'Core' category!).
Owned Data - the lack of
Again let me point out that Owned data is the weakest area, with many gaps and the first data from Nov 2006. If you have any Owned data before this date please contact me and I'll improve the analysis with it. I have played data going back to June 2003, but ranking data only back to July 2005, again if anyone can provide ranking data older than this it would be great. Some games only have Owned data for the latest month.
Since "Played Rank" caused some consternation on the previous lists, let me explain it a bit more fully:
I'm not using raw #plays. I'm using 'distinct user' plays data by month. So only 1 play per month per user counts. Then I sort the games by most Plays to get the Top 100 most played games and the 1-100 scale is their rank in this order.
So 1 play of a long game would have the same weight as 100 (or more) games of another game that month by the same user.
It tries to balance out the fact that some games are longer. Its effectively looking for fans of the game. The maximum each game can score from a user each month is '1'.
That evens plays data out a lot - which is why the Plays Top 100 is not dominated by quick fillers.
Played Rank Volatility
In the previous lists some people asked why the Played Rank was the most volatile of the 3 lines.
The "Plays rank" I've calculated here is based on plays by month - so the latest month is just August 2008 plays, the one before is just July 2008 plays.
In contrast the BGG rank is the rank after ALL the ratings that have been cast, not just monthly ratings (because they aren't available). And the (in a lot of cases stunningly boring) Owned data is also cumulative data.
Arguably I'm wrong to present a monthly set of data versus 2 cumulative sets of data, but I from the viewpoint of what I wanted to look at in these lists I am not. Ratings are not just monthly new ratings, they are also the ratings that everyone can change each month, so the latest ratings are monthly from that viewpoint. Similarly ownership can change as people sell or trade away the games they no longer want - it isn't just new owners.
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