Lookin' out for a new #1?
BibKamp318
Belgium
Beerse [near Turnhout]
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Both Agricola's and Puerto Rico's ratings are dropping but the Agricola ones are dropping faster - especially the last few weeks!
And Le Havre is getting stronger by the week: can Uwe Rosenberg do the double win?
Forget Dominion: the game is already past its peak - or not?
Is #1 too big a step for SmallWorld?
Stefan Feld will bring a new Alea game in Essen: a sure winner?

Participate and predict 2 things:
1. When will we have a new number 1?
2. Which game is the new emperor?


Rules:
a. Each Geek can participate only once by adding an entry to this Geek List:
- pick one date: please provide in the dd-mmm-yyyy format to ensure correct interpretation across the globe [eg today = 20-Jun-2009
- pick the game as the GL Item
b. Each date+game combination can be chosen only ONCE: first come first served. The COMBINATION has to be UNIQUE so adding the same game is allowed providing it is with a different date
c. The game continues until Agricola is no longer #1 (as long as it takes or the world collapses - whatever comes first)
d. In case no one picks the right date, the next one closest will win [providing the right game obviously is a must]
e. Obviously edited GL items will be disqualified, so DIRTFT

If you would like to contribute to the pot please tip this GL. All tips will be paid out to the winner - and I will throw in some of mine as well.

Good luck to you all!


UPDATE: Puerto Rico did retake the #1 spot today, January 19th.
The very last submission was the closest: correct prediction of the game though he missed the date by 2 months. The die hard Agricola fans were tougher than expected, huh!
So the winner is trenttsd. Congrats!

Thanks all for participating and the fun entries and comments.


PS Lookin' out for #1 is a brilliant song by Bachman, Turner & Overdrive.
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1. Board Game: Puerto Rico [Average Rating:8.06 Overall Rank:16]
BibKamp318
Belgium
Beerse [near Turnhout]
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23-Oct-2009: that is the day I go to Essen where I will buy the new Stefan Feld game any many, many others. So for sure a lucky day
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2. Board Game: Dominion: Intrigue [Average Rating:7.76 Overall Rank:59] [Average Rating:7.76 Unranked]
(The Artist formerly known as) Arnest R
Germany
Munich
Bavaria
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OK I bite - give it three 3 months from release, say on 01-oct-2009. This will be mostly played by people who liked the first version anyway...

We share avatar-designer...
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3. Board Game: Steam [Average Rating:7.64 Overall Rank:109]
Daniel Danzer
Germany
Stuttgart
southwest
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It has the seond highest user rating (behind Dominion: Intrigue), but probably does not feel like an expansion.
Perfect look (and so possibilities for fimo etc. to get great photos and hit the front page ...) and is still more "mainstream" than its predecessors, so this will climb and climb and climb.

Feb. 4th 2010, it will be #1.

Guaranteed.
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4. Board Game: Wiz-War [Average Rating:6.89 Overall Rank:1334]
Guest Starring...
Austria
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31-Feb-2010

An old school rebellion combined with false rumors of a reprint send this old favorite skyrocketing up the rankings.



(Hey, it could happen.)
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5. Board Game: The BoardGameGeek Game [Average Rating:6.04 Overall Rank:4191]
Mousey
Netherlands
Je suis Paris
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ESSEN The Game: SPIEL '13 Featuring Jonah
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RIP Jonah Lomu 1975-2015
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If there is one game that will have everything a geek wants, it will be The BoardGameGeek Game.

So, #1 on december 26th 2009


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6. Board Game: Le Havre [Average Rating:7.91 Overall Rank:37]
Tiwaz Tyrsfist
United States
Gladstone
Missouri
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Yay, Overtext bought with supporter GG!
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Supporter #3170 - I hope the bonus gets high enough that I can buy GeekBadge Overtext!
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20-Sep-2009
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7. Board Game: Tulipmania 1637 [Average Rating:6.18 Overall Rank:3525]
United States
Bellevue
NE
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April 1, 2010
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8. Board Game: Power Grid: Factory Manager [Average Rating:6.89 Overall Rank:691]
James Cheevers
United Kingdom
Liverpool
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01/05/2010

I'll go for the long shot.
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9. Board Game: World in Flames [Average Rating:7.51 Overall Rank:939] [Average Rating:7.51 Unranked]
Wendell
United States
Yellow Springs
Ohio
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Si non potes reperire Berolini in tabula, ludens essetis non WIF.
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Hey, get your stinking cursor off my face! I got nukes, you know.
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October 14, 2021.

That is about the date I expect to be able to buy out Aldie and gently tweak the ratings system...
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10. Board Game: About Nothing [Average Rating:0.00 Unranked]
Arrrrr!
United States
California
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Nothing will overtake the 'Gric for #1 for at least a couple o years
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11. Board Game: Mongolian Goat Rodeo [Average Rating:5.80 Unranked]
J H
United States
Billings and Bozeman
Montana
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February 29th, 2010
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12. Board Game: At the Gates of Loyang [Average Rating:7.39 Overall Rank:239]
Adam Slape
United States
Collinsville
Illinois
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Le Havre is my number one game, but I don't think it can reach #1 on BGG. However, Uwe's feat of reaching the top 10 with 2 games in such a short span of time is extremely impressive, let's see if he can do it again.

I'll go with one year to the day...June 21, 2010.
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13. Board Game: Monkey Auto Races [Average Rating:6.83 Overall Rank:9943]
Joe Krause
United States
Charleston
South Carolina
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Past performance is not indicative of future results. Nevertheless... April 1, 2010.
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14. Board Game: Blood Bowl: Living Rulebook [Average Rating:7.87 Overall Rank:195]
Nicklas Roman
Sweden
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You know you want to!

Taking the throne on Aug 15 2010.

Cheer!
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15. Board Game: Twilight Struggle [Average Rating:8.34 Overall Rank:4]
Jeffrey Inks
United States
Holly Springs
North Carolina (NC)
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When the mounted board is released this goes quickly up the few spots to #1.

12 - DEC - 2009


money in the bank.
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16. Board Game: Unpublished Prototype [Average Rating:6.98 Overall Rank:2203]
Carc >> BSG
United States
Topeka
Kansas
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I think I've got a great idea for a game.

It will hit #1 in Mar 2013.

Or not.
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17. Board Game: Founding Fathers [Average Rating:7.02 Overall Rank:1014]
Darrin Williams
United States
Allen
Texas
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I have overtext. Yes I do.
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I have overtext. How 'bout you !
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If this one lives up to expectations, it could take the number one spot.

It's still a ways off, but I think Agricola can hold on until about Jan 3, 2011 when it will fall to the Fathers.
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18. Board Game: Terminator 2: Judgment Day [Average Rating:3.82 Unranked]
Al Moreno
United States
Illinois
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This will be number 1 on August 29th, 1997 at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time. Skynet will take over BGG and ...

Wait a minute. What's the date?

Never mind.
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19. Board Game: Glory to Rome [Average Rating:7.49 Overall Rank:150]
Joe E.
United States
Stone Mountain
Georgia
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I'm going to pick... ohhhh, let's say July 1, 2010 as the day GtR finally ascends to the top of the BGG rankings, a couple months before its discovery by the cultural mainstream sparks Glory to Rome fever sweeping the nation.

Could it happen? Probably not, but it darn well should...
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20. Board Game: Automobile [Average Rating:7.36 Overall Rank:323]
Graham Dean
United Kingdom
Bedford
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1st November 2009.

This is the new Martin Wallace and is picking up great reviews at the moment. Ranked at 271 the last time I checked, but will rise very high indeed as more people start playing.
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21. Board Game: Piss Artist [Average Rating:5.79 Unranked]
Andy M
United Kingdom
Norwich
Norfolk
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do a number one.
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22. Board Game: Merkator [Average Rating:7.05 Overall Rank:818]
Julian Steindorfer
Austria
Vienna
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20.Feb.2011

i think this is uwe´s best game ,that i have played (better will follow)!
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23. Board Game: Busen Memo [Average Rating:4.81 Overall Rank:15230]
James Goodfriend

Berwyn
Illinois
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06/09/2069
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24. Board Game: Unpublished Prototype [Average Rating:6.98 Overall Rank:2203]
Laszlo Molnar
Hungary
Budapest
Hungary
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No present game will take away #1 from Agricola. It will surely be a yet-unpublished prototype that quite possibly we haven't even heard of. It might be released in Essen this year, or maybe only next Spring. The word has to spread so... It will happen on 18-Sep-2010.

(and I hope/guess the RPG Geek's rankings will have nothing to do with BGG rankings)

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25. Board Game: Small World [Average Rating:7.32 Overall Rank:185] [Average Rating:7.32 Unranked]
Pete Lane
United States
Golden Valley
Minnesota
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I don't like the game much, but it doesn't stop me from picking it!

09/09/2009 plenty of time for people to play it at summer conventions, and get attached to this very accessible game.

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