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Subject: What does 'leans' really mean? rss

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Josh
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A cnn headline about a latest Virgina poll caught my eye, having Hillary up 16 points. I did some digging and found it isn't some fluke, while high 11 points seems to be fairly reasonable. How much of a lead do you need to have to have a state safe? Also, the R lost Virginia?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/va/vi...
 
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Walt
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In memorium. Bob Hoover died 25 Oct 2016 at 94. In WWII he was shot down in a Spitfire and stole an FW-190 to escape. He spent decades at air shows flying Ole Yeller, shown
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Please contact me about board gaming in Orange County.
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I'm not sure it has a formal definition, but in terms of a vote or a state, I take it as slightly favoring; in terms of a poll, polls are biased for any number of reasons, and that's how the poll leans. For example, the LA Times leans heavily toward Trump. Discussion here:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-leave-th...
 
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Mac Mcleod
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Shadrach wrote:
A cnn headline about a latest Virgina poll caught my eye, having Hillary up 16 points. I did some digging and found it isn't some fluke, while high 11 points seems to be fairly reasonable. How much of a lead do you need to have to have a state safe? Also, the R lost Virginia?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/va/vi...


Holy shit. Is that a clinton poll or a rocket ship taking off!
It's independents coming in- not people leaving trump.

California has a +22 average for clinton.

Gamed with another conservative retired friend today. He's going to not vote for any presidential candidate. He's a never trump/clinton and he doesn't like Johnson or Stein so doesn't want to 'waste' his vote on them. But he'll still be voting for other republican candidates.
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Madison
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maxo-texas wrote:
Shadrach wrote:
A cnn headline about a latest Virgina poll caught my eye, having Hillary up 16 points. I did some digging and found it isn't some fluke, while high 11 points seems to be fairly reasonable. How much of a lead do you need to have to have a state safe? Also, the R lost Virginia?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/va/vi...


Holy shit. Is that a clinton poll or a rocket ship taking off!
It's independents coming in- not people leaving trump.

California has a +22 average for clinton.

Gamed with another conservative retired friend today. He's going to not vote for any presidential candidate. He's a never trump/clinton and he doesn't like Johnson or Stein so doesn't want to 'waste' his vote on them. But he'll still be voting for other republican candidates.


But how will the Skinheads ever get a voice if Trump doesn't win? Who is going to fight for the disenfranchised whitebreds being repressed from all quarters?

Ohhhss, the humanity.

 
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