All the little chicks with crimson lips, go...
Hey, get your stinking cursor off my face! I got nukes, you know.
Maybe it's because us non-Americans simply aren't used to such long campaigns but calling it months out and before the first debate seems premature.
Polling experts cite history which shows that polls taken a month or so after the conventions (i.e., around now) tend to be pretty close to the final numbers.
That said, this is based on a small sample size going back to the 1970s, and every election is sufficiently different from other ones that I agree it's premature to call it.