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Mac Mcleod
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I'm betting something mild by 2 days. Something really nasty within a month.

And the leaks that will abound after he loses may be incredible.

How long do you think it will take? (never is a valid low odds answer).

The single closest guess posted earliest will get $5 geek gold.

In the case of the same answer, the post timestamp will matter so later duplicate answers won't pay. But you can say, "3 days in the afternoon" vs "3 days between 3am and 7am". To prevent obnoxious over under, let's say you can reserve a 4 hour time slot and only predict smaller slots if they are left over by prior guessers. (I.e. someone takes 3am to 7am and someone else takes 8am to Noon). Format of guesses should be "Month Day year 4 Hour range.

If he insults conway after a guess and before a later guess, then the later guess wins. Last chance to enter this contest is Nov 7th at 11:59pm.

(edit)

http://heavy.com/news/2016/08/kellyanne-conway-donald-trump-...
(endedit)

I'm sorry, but "never" while valid, would not normally pay out. So I'll pay the earliest "never" after the last guess time period passes. It's on guessers to remind me (remember I'm suffering the sudden onset of senility).

I have taken Nov 10 later in the middle of the morning (3am to 7am) as the "Green 0".

In the event of ambiguous posts, I'll be the decider on who to pay. Merely whining won't count as an insult.

If trump doesn't insult before the last guess then no payout.

---
Nov 07, 02am to 06am for Kumitedad
Nov 08, 09pm to 01am for 49xJohn
Nov 09, 02am to 06am for Rcbevco
Nov 09, 06am to 10am for Slatersteven
Nov 12, 02am to 06am for JohnnyOffice ( window limited to 4 hours)*
NEV --, 00am to 00am for bbenston


*And trump appears to sleep from Midnight to 2 am.
 
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Lone Locust of the Apocalypse
United States
Sandworms USA
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Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.
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Mac Mcleod
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Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


Lol.

Kellyanne Conway, his campaign manager.

She'll probably be "a really bad campaign manager, the worst campaign manager I ever had".
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Boaty McBoatface
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maxo-texas wrote:
Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


Lol.

Kellyanne Conway, his campaign manager.

She'll probably be "a really bad campaign manager, the worst campaign manager I ever had".
FAT!!!!!

6 hours by the way befroe he rants about how it was all her fault.
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Eddy Richards
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Allanton
Duns
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I'll say between 2 and 6 hours before the election happens!
 
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Mac Mcleod
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slatersteven wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


Lol.

Kellyanne Conway, his campaign manager.

She'll probably be "a really bad campaign manager, the worst campaign manager I ever had".
FAT!!!!!

6 hours by the way befroe he rants about how it was all her fault.


So Nov 9th, 6am to 10am.
 
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G Rowls
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at his campaign 'victory' party when it has become clear he is a confirmed loser. As trump ins't a loser it wuld have t be somebody elses fault.

Incidental who is this Conway person?
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Chief Slovenly
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In for the first "Never".

This is Trump we're talking about, the guy who's always missing a balcony to yell from and some gold epaulets.

Trump can never fail. He only hires the best people. His natural victory can only be stolen from him.
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Mac Mcleod
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growlley wrote:
at his campaign 'victory' part when it has become clear he is a confirmed loser. As trump ins't a loser it wuld have t be somebody elses fault.

Incidental who is this Conway person?


See the link above and you can search for "Conway Trump" on Youtube.

Guesses without a date and time won't pay.
 
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Boaty McBoatface
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maxo-texas wrote:
slatersteven wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


Lol.

Kellyanne Conway, his campaign manager.

She'll probably be "a really bad campaign manager, the worst campaign manager I ever had".
FAT!!!!!

6 hours by the way befroe he rants about how it was all her fault.


So Nov 9th, 6am to 10am.
Yep.
 
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Greg Michealson
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Maple Grove
Minnesota
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Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


I have that microbadge. Take a gander.

"Ladies and gentlemen, Mr. Conway Twitty."
 
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non sequitur
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Elk Point
South Dakota (SD)
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Three weeks before the election.
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Chris
United States
Sandy Springs
Georgia
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I'm pretty sure he is going to say the election was rigged and/or hacked.
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Sam I am
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Portage
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maxo-texas wrote:
slatersteven wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


Lol.

Kellyanne Conway, his campaign manager.

She'll probably be "a really bad campaign manager, the worst campaign manager I ever had".
FAT!!!!!

6 hours by the way befroe he rants about how it was all her fault.


So Nov 9th, 6am to 10am.


The same but zero dark 30 via twitter. (roughly 3:19 am)
 
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Sam I am
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It's funny that it took an attractive women to get him to behave less like a neanderthal... for a little while at least! Her book will be a #1 best seller.

Were she unattractive she:
1. Wouldn't have been hired.
2. Wouldn't have been listened too.
3. Called names after she was fired.

IMHO
 
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Mac Mcleod
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rcbevco wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
slatersteven wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


Lol.

Kellyanne Conway, his campaign manager.

She'll probably be "a really bad campaign manager, the worst campaign manager I ever had".
FAT!!!!!

6 hours by the way befroe he rants about how it was all her fault.


So Nov 9th, 6am to 10am.


The same but zero dark 30 via twitter. (roughly 3:19 am)


Nov 9, 2am to 6am for Rcbevco
 
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Pontifex Maximus
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CA
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maxo-texas wrote:
rcbevco wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
slatersteven wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
Altair IV wrote:
Conway Twitty has been dead for over 20 years.


Lol.

Kellyanne Conway, his campaign manager.

She'll probably be "a really bad campaign manager, the worst campaign manager I ever had".
FAT!!!!!

6 hours by the way befroe he rants about how it was all her fault.


So Nov 9th, 6am to 10am.


The same but zero dark 30 via twitter. (roughly 3:19 am)


Nov 9, 2am to 6am for Rcbevco
.

The Day before the election
 
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Mac Mcleod
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So Nov 8, 2am to 6am or Nov 7 2am to 6am?

If we hit 10 people, I'll start copying times to a table above.

But I'm also going to stop clarifying date and time after this post.
 
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Trey Chambers
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He's gonna insult her G-ina.
 
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Tom McVey
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maxo-texas wrote:
I'm betting something mild by 2 days. Something really nasty within a month.


It depends whether Conway would have signed one of Trump's infamous NDA's.* Hopefully she didn't (and hopefully she got payments up front.) If Conway can write a memoir, Trump might hold off for fear of what Conway might reveal.

If not, Trump will be blaming Conway the morning of the election when the absence of serious GOTV efforts will be painfully obvious. He's not going to wait until the polls close to find a scapegoat. He might even turn on her when the last internal polls come in the Sunday or Monday before the election.

Anyway, I hope Conway didn't sign an NDA, and hope she got paid in advance.

(* BTW, one of reasons the 1995 Miss Universe came up in the campaign is because she would have signed less restrictive NDA's with the old owners of the pageant, not Trump.)
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Pontifex Maximus
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CA
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maxo-texas wrote:
So Nov 8, 2am to 6am or Nov 7 2am to 6am?

If we hit 10 people, I'll start copying times to a table above.

But I'm also going to stop clarifying date and time after this post.


Nov 7th
 
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John Hathorn
United States
San Antonio
Texas
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Nov 12 from 0000 to 0600. He'll try to hold it in, but it all come bubbling up on Twitter in a storm the likes of which we will never see again.
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Welcome Rolling Stones
Latvia
Bullshit
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9pm Eastern on Election day.
 
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Mac Mcleod
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JohnnyOffice wrote:
Nov 12 from 0000 to 0600. He'll try to hold it in, but it all come bubbling up on Twitter in a storm the likes of which we will never see again.


Set it to 0200 to 0600 for 4 hour limit. Can move it if you like but trump appears to sleep from midnight to 2am so set it to most favorable value.
 
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Josh
United States
Pennsylvania
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tmcvey wrote:
maxo-texas wrote:
I'm betting something mild by 2 days. Something really nasty within a month.


It depends whether Conway would have signed one of Trump's infamous NDA's.* Hopefully she didn't (and hopefully she got payments up front.) If Conway can write a memoir, Trump might hold off for fear of what Conway might reveal.

If not, Trump will be blaming Conway the morning of the election when the absence of serious GOTV efforts will be painfully obvious. He's not going to wait until the polls close to find a scapegoat. He might even turn on her when the last internal polls come in the Sunday or Monday before the election.

Anyway, I hope Conway didn't sign an NDA, and hope she got paid in advance.

(* BTW, one of reasons the 1995 Miss Universe came up in the campaign is because she would have signed less restrictive NDA's with the old owners of the pageant, not Trump.)


Considering she was willing to work to get Trump elected I hope she signed over power of attourney and is being paid in bitcoins.
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