Laszlo Varga
Hungary
Budapest
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Hi,
I was thinking about the difference in the 1st and 2nd edition of the rules, especially regarding the check for exploration success: in the 1st version you roll for success with one six sided numeric die where your roll must meet or exceed (or exceed only, don't recall) the exploration difficulty of the territory. In the 2nd version you must roll with 10 special die where from the 6 sides 2 has the success icon (and then the number of success icons must meet or exceed.... So my question is more of counting statistics: in which version there is a bigger chance for success? My gut feeling is that with the one six sided numeric die... What do you think?
 
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Carsten Jorgensen
Denmark
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No need to guess about this. Go to anydice.com and write this in calculator:

EXPONE: 1d6
output EXPONE >= 1 named "at least 1"
output EXPONE >= 2 named "at least 2"
output EXPONE >= 3 named "at least 3"
output EXPONE >= 4 named "at least 4"
output EXPONE >= 5 named "at least 5"
output EXPONE >= 6 named "at least 6"

EXPTWO: [count {5,6} in 10d6]
output EXPTWO >= 1 named "at least 1 hit"
output EXPTWO >= 2 named "at least 2 hits"
output EXPTWO >= 3 named "at least 3 hits"
output EXPTWO >= 4 named "at least 4 hits"
output EXPTWO >= 5 named "at least 5 hits"
output EXPTWO >= 6 named "at least 6 hits"

That gives you the chance of both versions of the rules. The general trend in 2nd edition compared to the first is, that there is now a small risk not to explore when just needing "1", but it is easier to explore on "2" and "3". From then it goes down and becomes harder in the 2nd edition. Of course until you need a "7", which is possible in 2nd edition, but impossible in 1st edition.

Here it also is from anydice (I removed the average and standard deviation to make it a bit easier to read):

1st edition (%):

at least 1
1 100.00

at least 2
0 16.67

1 83.33

at least 3
0 33.33

1 66.67

at least 4
0 50.00

1 50.00

at least 5
0 66.67

1 33.33

at least 6
0 83.33

1 16.67

2nd edition (%):

at least 1 hit
0 1.73

1 98.27

at least 2 hits
0 10.40

1 89.60

at least 3 hits
0 29.91

1 70.09

at least 4 hits
0 55.93

1 44.07

at least 5 hits
0 78.69

1 21.31

at least 6 hits
0 92.34

1 7.66

1 
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Laszlo Varga
Hungary
Budapest
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Thanks Mate
 
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