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Subject: Joe: Electoral vote predictions rss

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Mac Mcleod
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houston
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80% chance of 400 by one person.
Another points out clinton is capped at 374 without Texas.

I think RSP consensus is 340 tops, right?



 
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Walking on eggshells is not my style
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340 is in the ball park.

Hillary is in a different ballpark.
 
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Ron Preisach
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Koldie's alternate universe notwithstanding, how about how few electoral votes can Trump get? 126?
 
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Josh
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I don't think for a moment Texas will flip. If it does then the GOP is worse off than I thought.
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Andre
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http://www.cnn.com/election/interactive-electoral-college-ma...

CNN has it mostly right, I believe, but notice the swing states in play, and the current "locked-in" electoral votes, i.e., those unlikely to change). The key states that are "battelground" or only minorly Dem, that are in play (with any electoral vote worth counting) are Florida, Penssylvania, Michigan, Ohio, and North Carolina. And of those just mentioned, three are currently minorly Dem. Even deleting all the minorly Blue States from the Clinton side, she still has 200 electoral votes already locked up. Does one honestly believe, that, in all those other states now left to play that she will not attain the required 70 more to win? Trump has an uphill battle, to be sure.
 
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Ron Preisach
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Uphill? Trump has a Moebius loop to overcome.
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Walt
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In memorium. Bob Hoover died 25 Oct 2016 at 94. In WWII he was shot down in a Spitfire and stole an FW-190 to escape. He spent decades at air shows flying Ole Yeller, shown
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Please contact me about board gaming in Orange County.
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As Nate Silver has noted, new voters in the weirdest campaign in memory, maybe ever, make for a lot of uncertainty. I'd say it's a bell curve with one tail a squeak-by Trump win and the other end around 400 and the House flips.
 
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