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Chris Binkowski
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Obviously pro-Trump, but contains many links and points covered during the campaign:

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/5bprrd/attentio...
 
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Mike Stiles
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Sarxis wrote:
Obviously pro-Trump, but contains many links and points covered during the campaign:

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/5bprrd/attentio...


The idea of r/The_Donald, or you for that matter speaking in good faith to undecideds (if such still exist) is patently absurd.
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J
United States
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I think if people are undecided this late in the game, they aren't likely to vote at all.
 
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J
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Let's look at Nevada again. The latest early voting data:

Facts:
Early Votes: 770,149 (relative to 2012, that's about 2/3 of total votes cast)
Dem %: 42
Rep %: 36
Other %: 22

Assumptions:
90% Dem vote Hillary
90% Rep vote Trump
60% Other vote Trump

Results:
Hillary: 50.2%
Trump: 49.8%

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J
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Koldfoot wrote:
If they aren't voting, they are skipped in the poll.

Not necessarily, depends on the poll. Most use "likely voters" after Labor Day and the simplest way to get that is to ask: do you plan to vote on Election Day. If people are undecided and still counted as likely voters, then they've probably answered yes to that.

What I'm saying is that if they are still undecided tomorrow, I think a lot of them will skip the election.
 
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J
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Koldfoot wrote:
jmilum wrote:
Let's look at Nevada again. The latest early voting data:

Facts:
Early Votes: 770,149 (relative to 2012, that's about 2/3 of total votes cast)
Dem %: 42
Rep %: 36
Other %: 22

Assumptions:
90% Dem vote Hillary
90% Rep vote Trump
60% Other vote Trump

Results:
Hillary: 50.2%
Trump: 49.8%



Soooo, with a 0.4% difference, it is your contention that he is wasting his time?

In Nevada? Yeah as 2/3 of the votes are already cast.

But I don't think Trump has anywhere close to 60% Other, that was your number. So the Clinton advantage there is probably higher.

Her ground game is better than his.
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