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BoardGameGeek» Forums » Everything Else » Religion, Sex, and Politics

Subject: a blue wave while we were not looking rss

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Mac Mcleod
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I must admit that I was focused on Beto and that there was a lot of commentary on the news about how this wasn't a blue wave.

But as the dust settles, this appears to have been a blue tidal wave.

12 seats in texas.

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/2018-elections/2018/11/06/de...

It's gone from 95R-55D to 83-67 in one election despite tremendous gerrymandering dating back to 2010. If it continues, it would be 71R-79D in 2020. And if republicans state reps continue on the same track, it is likely to continue.

This may prompt the republicans to pull in their horns over the next 2 years to try ensure they hold power from 2021 to 2030. But we know if they retain control, they are going to be absolutely vicious and shameless from 2021 to 2030.

The story is similar or better across the rest of the country.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/11/9/18075536/m...
Quote:

Democratic wins in these 9 states will have seismic policy consequences
The blue wave hit state governments the hardest. Here’s why it matters.


Democrats flipped seven governorships, six state legislative chambers, and more than 300 state House and Senate seats on election night (edit.. and a majority of attorney generals). The party went a long way to regaining control at the state level after suffering devastating losses throughout the Barack Obama years.

...

First and foremost, the Democratic takeover means the end of Maine’s Medicaid expansion drama. Maine voters overwhelmingly approved the expansion in a ballot initiative last year, but archconservative LePage used every legal and procedural quirk in the book to slow it down. A year after the ballot initiative passed, the 70,000 low-income people Medicaid expansion would cover in Maine still don’t have Medicaid.



Also, notably, the three states that put Trump in office have flipped back democratic.

I think people who tried Trump because he promised the moon and the stars now know that he can't deliver at a minimum- and that he's making things worse for many of them.

It's clear if republicans continue to behave the way they have, with a callous disregard for the rule of law and with active efforts to remove the right to vote, they will lose power. Once they lose power, they may be in the wilderness a long time despite friendly judges.
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Jorge Montero
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I'll take Manhattan in a garbage bag. With Latin written on it that says "It's hard to give a shit these days"
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If there were no districts to consider, democrats were ahead by 9 points across the country. It's not just an overwhelming advantage in blue states, but many swing states. It's the way the votes get representatives, and fun voter supression, that made the results not look like a big wave.

This is why I go back to electoral propositions that make gerrymandering much harder: All the manipulation in the world doesn't stop those, just like it doesn't stop random democratic governors facing a right-wing state congress.

Even in a state like Missouri, where McCaskill got trounced in rural areas, we pass minimum wage increases, because a lot of trumpists are ultimately poor people who somehow like his strongman persona, but don't agree with a single Republican economic plan.

Think of how Texas' congressional delegation would look like if without gerrymandering: Republicans would have to change their views drastically to be competitive at all.
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Bern Harkins
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"Conservatives" have been working for electoral advantages for quite some time. This goes back to before the 2010 census, when wealthy interests *cough*Koch brothers*cough* began pouring resources into local races, so they would control the drafting of the new conressional districts.

It was a decades long plan, and it worked. It continues to be the case that far more voters select Democrats for representation, but the Republicans are awarded more seats.

Until this time around. The electoral advantage still favors conservatives... Democrats won seats despite this undue influence, WHICH IS STILL IN PLACE.

Dems made some major gains in the State Houses and Govenor's Mansions (lots of straight-ticket voters looking to repudiate the right), but the hard work of re-levelling the field remains ahead of us.

If you want to see this pernicious framework of injustice crumble, we need to take more seats in the State Houses. I respectfully request that you, dear forum mate, vote straight party Democrat for the 2020 election cycle. We need to fix the district maps... we can get back to bickering later.

(Oh, and let me address the "both sides do it" argument before it rears its too-familiar head. You are correct, both sides do it, but not to the same degree. Policy decisions in this country are driven by campaign contributions; the issues important to the people bear no resemblance to the agenda pursued by Congress. We need to right our boat, or risk forever losing our right to mix metaphors!)
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