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Subject: Best (and Worst) Cities to Connect, 4th Edition rss

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Steve Okonski
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In all crayon rail games, an important part of winning is building your track efficiently. Knowing which cities generate the best returns, and which to rarely bother connecting, can help you build an efficient network. The loads supplied and demanded by a city largely determine its value to your network.

Using data from over 32000 matches, the table below shows the percentage of times a city was served by the winning player's track in the 4th edition of Eurorails. The major cities have the highest percentage because game rules specify a minimum number of such cities must be served to win. Small cities can be served by the fewest number of players, so those cities can be important to connect early. The top two small cities are Wroclaw and Valencia. Also note the cities in Ireland, doomed by the double ferry ride, are least often associated with victory.

The 4th edition of Eurorails comes with a completely revised set of contracts. As the data below shows, compared to the original edition's contracts, the revised ones lessen the importance of building to Spain, and make Scandinavia, particularly Oslo, a more reasonable place to serve with your network. The Chunnel helps increase London's popularity, boosting its winner service percentage above Madrid's.

These stats were generated via simulation by the Empire Builder Pronto computer program that can be downloaded from http://www.railgamefans.com/ebp

99.7% Ruhr
98.1% Holland
95.6% Paris
94.3% Berlin
86.1% Wien
84.7% London
74.6% Madrid
70.9% Milano
58.4% Birmingham
57.0% Bruxelles
51.7% Antwerpen
49.8% Wroclaw
44.3% Zurich
44.3% Valencia
42.4% Frankfurt
41.2% Manchester
39.5% Lodz
38.9% Lisboa
38.0% Cardiff
37.7% Firenze
37.6% Bern
37.0% Sevilla
36.7% Leipzig
36.4% Warszawa
36.4% Hamburg
35.2% Praha
33.3% Szczecin
32.6% Bremen
31.7% Napoli
31.1% Glasgow
30.0% Toulouse
29.8% Lyon
29.3% Porto
29.1% Zagreb
28.6% Barcelona
28.5% Bilbao
28.5% Munchen
28.1% Torino
27.5% Newcastle
27.2% Budapest
26.6% Stuttgart
25.0% Aberdeen
23.8% Oslo
23.5% Sarajevo
23.2% Roma
21.7% Marseille
19.9% Luxembourg
19.5% Venezia
18.4% Beograd
17.0% Krakow
16.3% Kobenhavn
14.3% Goteborg
14.0% Stockholm
12.5% Nantes
8.7% Bordeaux
7.3% Kaliningrad
6.1% Arhus
4.9% Dublin
3.5% Belfast
1.9% Cork
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david landes
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oak hill
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Alas, poor Cork, I knew him Horatio.
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Stephen Smith
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I thought fourth edition was supposed to make Scandinavia a competitive option? While these numbers are better than before, they are still dismal.
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Steve Okonski
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Well, no matter what the map and contracts, of course some cities are going to be better for victory than others. All the Scandinavian cities now show up in the winner's network more often than before, Oslo around 3 times as often. I guess I'd like to see Scandinavia's numbers a bit higher too, but *shrug* IMO this is a nice improvement.

The quantity of load types delivered by the winner is much better balanced in the 4th edition. In the original edition, almost 4 times as many Tourists (the most popular load) were delivered per game than Beer (the least popular load). In the 4th edition, Oranges, Fish, Tourists, Cork and Copper are the top loads and of roughly equal popularity, and they are each delivered only about 2.2 times as frequently as Cattle (the new least popular).
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