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Subject: Space Hulk Ranking Prediction Thread! rss

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Hans Messersmith
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Jeff's thread here:

http://www.boardgamegeek.com/thread/445456

coincided with my own fascination at the meteoric rise of this game in the ranking table.

Therefore, I propose a contest: forecast the fate of Space Hulk 3! It's strictly for bragging rights, since I have no Geek Gold to offer.

Here are the rules:

* Post to this thread the following information by September 30, 2009 (one week from today)

* Put in your post the following: Predicted rank of Space Hulk third edition on November 23, 2009 (two months from today). Predicted rank on March 23, 2009 (six months from today). Please keep anything else in the post to a minimum, so it will be easy to see your prediction.

* Be definite; no ranges or fudge factors. Just put the rank number you predict next to the date (see my example below for the simplicity I am asking for).

* If your prediction post is edited after September 30, 2009, it will be considered invalid.

* On November 23, 2009, at 6 PM, I will check the rank of Space Hulk, and shower accolades on those that were right!

* On March 23, 20092010, I will resurrect this post and do so again, and heap praise on those oracles who called it!

Yes, I know it is silly. laugh

EDIT: Thanks to William and Mike for pointing out that I don't actually have a time machine, and meant to say March 23, 2010, not 2009. Error corrected. I'm moving my own prediction to a separate post so I can follow my own rules about not editing the prediction after Sept 30.
-------------------------------------------------
My own predictions:

November 23, 2009: #3
March 23, 2010: #3
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William Collins
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I think the March date should be in 2010.

4 and 42
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Matthijs v S
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November 23, 2009: #9
March 23, 2009: #11
 
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Bastien
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November 23, 2009: #1
March 23, 2010: #1
 
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Luis Magalhães
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November 23, 2009: #7
March 23, 2010: #13
 
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Mike MacMartin
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November: #5
March: #9
 
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Regan O\'Malley
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How exactly do I rank the game? I'm fairly new to the site and can't see a "rate this game" option anywhere.
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Jorge Arroyo
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Go to the SH 3rd ed. page and scroll to the bottom. You can add it to your collection and rate it there.

My prediction is

#1
#1

 
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Leo Lis
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Something like Dark Knight on IMDB.com, some time it was 1st place, then all God Father movie funs rank it for 1 point, so now it is in the middle of top 10...

my prediction - #6 in march
 
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Железный комиссар
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Fun thread.

11/23/09: #6 (but I think it will hit number three before then)
3/23/10: #15
 
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Hans Messersmith
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Thanks William. Yes, I meant March 23, 2010. I'll assume anyone who also made my mistake in their post was simply led into error by me.
 
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Hans Messersmith
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With your head held high and your scarlet lies You came down to me from the open skies It's either real or it's a dream There's nothing that is in between
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My own predictions:

November 23, 2009: #3
March 23, 2010: #3
 
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Kaiwen Zhang
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#1
#1

all the way baby!!
 
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myles
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November: #6
March: #12

I think SH will rise above 6 before November but all the Euro shills will start running in mass to downrate this game a 1. They've already doubled their 1 shill ratings since yesterday. Ultimately this will start pushing back the legitimate ratings from actual owners and players and leave it at 12 or lower by next year. Also I believe some of the legitimate 10 and 9's will be adjusted downward as initial excitement for the game wanes for some.

I don't understand the pathology behind the euro shills. It's as if some are placing their personal worth on the line based on ratings of games they like. shake Do they think they are delivering some form of balance to the universe? Do they fear losing control of the website? It would probably make an interesting research thesis if anyone is majoring in psychology.

Edited for piss poor grammar and spelling.
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Martin Burdick
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#4
#7
 
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Jeff Khoury
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November: #3

It will overtake #6 easily. 3, 4, & 5 are all very close in ranking, so if it overtakes one, it should overtake them all. There should be sufficient time for this.

March: #1

I honestly don't believe that certain members of this community will "allow" this to happen, so I really think it stays at #3 (considering what #1 & #2 are), but there are several #3 & #3 predictions already, so I'm going to go with #3 & #1.
 
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Hans Messersmith
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I'm sorry I'm behind on saying this, But the predictions are closed. You will next see a post here in November.
 
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Hans Messersmith
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With your head held high and your scarlet lies You came down to me from the open skies It's either real or it's a dream There's nothing that is in between
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It's not quite 6 PM, but the chance of the rank of Space Hulk changing in the next 5 hours seems vanishingly small to me, so...

Here are the results for the first prediction!

Predictions (by BGG name and real name):

skalchemist, Hans Messersmith, 3
wilco, William Collins, 4
pistoolkip, Matthijis van Staalduine, 9
Chatbus, Bastien Lefevre, 1
Tistu, Luis Magalhaes, 7
mmacmartin, Mike MacMartin, 5
maka, Jorge Arroyo, 1
JohnRayJr, Jack, 6
johncraven, Kaiwen Zhang, 1
Great_Mazinga, Myles, 6
VGoodwin, Martin Burdick, 4
JVKhoury, Jeff Khoury, 3

And the actual rank is...*drum roll*...

8

There is no outright winner, as no one selected this rank. But Luis Magalhaes and Matthijis van Staalduine bracked the actual rank with 7 and 9 predictions, so I'm going to call them a tie for first place. Congratulations! Don't you with there was some kind of prize?

It's pretty clear that most of us overestimated by a bit how far Space Hulk would go. Has anybody been following the ranking over time? Did it get higher than 8 at any point?

I'm not sure if Great_Mazinga/Myle's concern about
Quote:
the Euro shills will start running in mass to downrate this game a 1
is born out by reality. There are 38 "1" ratings; does 38 count as a mass? However, at least four people have clearly stated in their comments next to the rating that they did it explicitly to reduce it's ranking. The motivation behind that action mystifies me, I admit.

One other possibly interesting fact: on page 1 of the Ratings page there are 25 "10" ratings, of which...
20 are from North America
5 are from Europe

On page 70 (the last complete page) of the Ratings, there are 25 "1" Ratings, of which...
6 are from North America
10 are from Europe
5 are from Asia
1 is from South America
4 don't list a country

The difference in distribution certainly suggests SOMETHING is going on, but what is not so clear. Perhaps Space Hulk is a game where the translated rules are really hard to follow, and thus non-English native speakers just don't like it much? Perhaps North American's really are very different from the rest of the world in their taste in games?

Anyway, now we wait until March 23!

skalchemist wrote:
Jeff's thread here:

http://www.boardgamegeek.com/thread/445456

coincided with my own fascination at the meteoric rise of this game in the ranking table.

Therefore, I propose a contest: forecast the fate of Space Hulk 3! It's strictly for bragging rights, since I have no Geek Gold to offer.

Here are the rules:

* Post to this thread the following information by September 30, 2009 (one week from today)

* Put in your post the following: Predicted rank of Space Hulk third edition on November 23, 2009 (two months from today). Predicted rank on March 23, 2009 (six months from today). Please keep anything else in the post to a minimum, so it will be easy to see your prediction.

* Be definite; no ranges or fudge factors. Just put the rank number you predict next to the date (see my example below for the simplicity I am asking for).

* If your prediction post is edited after September 30, 2009, it will be considered invalid.

* On November 23, 2009, at 6 PM, I will check the rank of Space Hulk, and shower accolades on those that were right!

* On March 23, 20092010, I will resurrect this post and do so again, and heap praise on those oracles who called it!

Yes, I know it is silly. laugh

EDIT: Thanks to William and Mike for pointing out that I don't actually have a time machine, and meant to say March 23, 2010, not 2009. Error corrected. I'm moving my own prediction to a separate post so I can follow my own rules about not editing the prediction after Sept 30.
-------------------------------------------------
My own predictions:

November 23, 2009: #3
March 23, 2010: #3
 
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