Summary: Way back in 2005, an official at the UN university predicted millions of climate change refugees and it didn't happen so now those web pages and maps are gone. In fact, population has increased in the areas people were supposed to be refugees from by 5% or more*.
This touches on two of my buttons.
1) Dire predictions followed by changing records when those dire predictions are not met.
2) Increasing population is the real threat (every area will increase to carrying capacity so that disasters have a harder impact and the local environment will be degraded).
Increasing population is the root cause of climate change and just about every other problem we have.
I won't be able to defend this much. I'm very tired. But it had been a while since we had a climate change thread.
* 5% in 7 years is very high- could it be immigration from retiring boomers?
I happen to think climate change is real- the cause is not certain but greenhouse gases probably contribute some of the effect. However (from prior discussions), it's a lot less bad than is predicted over the time scale predicted.
I'll try to drop back in today- I have to go back to sleep now. This illness is kicking my butt but in a pleasant way. Not a lot of discomfort but fever and wiping me out.
Dishonest journalism at its best. Here is the quote from the UN:
As far back as 1995 (latest date for a comprehensive assessment), these environmental refugees totalled at least 25 million people, compared with 27 million traditional refugees (people fleeing political oppression, religious persecution and ethnic troubles). The environmental refugees total could well double between 1995 and 2010. Moreover, it could increase steadily for a good while thereafter as growing numbers of impoverished people press ever harder on over-loaded environments. When global warming takes hold, there could be as many as 200 million people overtaken by disruptions of monsoon systems and other rainfall regimes, by droughts of unprecedented severity and duration, and by sea-level rise and coastal flooding.
1.) Environmental refugees does not mean climate change refugees.
2.) The projection is before the statement about climate change, they are merely pointing out that climate change could exacerbate environmental displacement.
3.) "could well double" is not exactly a scientific projection.
4.) The 50 million number is not being attributed to climate change anywhere in the paragraph, in fact the majority of them are Africans who were displaced because of regional droughts.
- Last edited Mon Apr 18, 2011 12:30 am (Total Number of Edits: 1)
- Posted Mon Apr 18, 2011 12:29 am